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TOP ELECTION PREDICTOR: KAMALA WILL DEFEAT TRUMP

Conrad’s Ghost

Posted 5:57 pm, 09/06/2024

Um, someone break it to kuntsayer that Allan Lichtmann has actually called in his prediction. Don't tell her who for. She might cry.

smalltownman

Posted 3:35 pm, 09/06/2024

Too bad she didn't take you with her.

Fakey

Posted 3:27 pm, 09/06/2024

Hey smurf, momma left this world several years ago AND she always frowned upon progressives AND their ilk.

surfer

Posted 3:01 pm, 09/06/2024

Get your mom to help you and watch the video....

Fakey

Posted 2:32 pm, 09/06/2024

Hey smurf, is this your "expert"?

David Pakman (born 2 February 1984) is an Argentinian-American talk show host and progressive political commentator.

surfer

Posted 2:04 pm, 09/06/2024

I'll leave it to the expert and trust his analysis.

knslyr

Posted 1:54 pm, 09/06/2024

Not blaming nobody. But you didn't post his analysis. You posted some annoying soy boy telling us what to think. I did some actual research and found the "keys" are not exactly what soy boy, and you(soy boy 2.0) claimed. Big surprise...

surfer

Posted 12:10 pm, 09/06/2024

He's the expert....don't blame the messenger for your lack of comprehending his analysis.

knslyr

Posted 8:10 am, 09/06/2024

His "keys" don't help either candidate if you put forth the effort to read them.


If six or more are false, the party in power will lose.
1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
Personal opinion here, several of these keys are fluid and recently, or currently, in flux.
kamaltoe orange man bad
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Always Right

Posted 6:57 am, 09/06/2024

Conrad’s Ghost

Posted 6:52 pm, 09/05/2024

Good!

But: We must remain vigilant. We can't let Trump back in power. He almost destroyed the entire country last time. Sad!

surfer

Posted 6:49 pm, 09/05/2024

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